Jamie Dimon Says Effects of Banking Crisis Will Be Felt for ‘Years to Come’
Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase who recently rallied fellow bank leaders to the rescue of smaller rivals, devoted plenty of ink to the banking crisis in his annual letter to shareholders on Tuesday.
“As I write this letter, the current crisis is not yet over, and even when it is behind us, there will be repercussions from it for years to come,” Mr. Dimon wrote in the letter, which is followed closely on Wall Street.
Last month, Mr. Dimon corralled $30 billion in funds from JPMorgan and other big banks to deposit at First Republic, a midsize lender that had struggled with rapid withdrawals and a plunge in its stock price after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank spooked the market.
In diagnosing the origins of the recent turmoil, which Mr. Dimon said was “nothing like what occurred during the 2008 global financial crisis,” he said that crucial risks lurking on banks’ balance sheets were “hiding in plain sight.” Silicon Valley Bank’s corporate clients, for instance, “were controlled by a small number of venture capital companies and moved their deposits in lockstep,” he wrote.
Regulations were also partly to blame, he said, noting that required stress tests failed to take into account rapidly rising interest rates. He added that banks had been encouraged by rules on capital requirements to load up on government bonds, which have dropped in value as rates have risen and threatened to saddle lenders with large losses like the one that rattled depositors at Silicon Valley Bank.
Inflation F.A.Q.
What is inflation? Inflation is a loss of purchasing power over time, meaning your dollar will not go as far tomorrow as it did today. It is typically expressed as the annual change in prices for everyday goods and services such as food, furniture, apparel, transportation and toys.
What causes inflation? It can be the result of rising consumer demand. But inflation can also rise and fall based on developments that have little to do with economic conditions, such as limited oil production and supply chain problems.
Is inflation bad? It depends on the circumstances. Fast price increases spell trouble, but moderate price gains can lead to higher wages and job growth.
How does inflation affect the poor? Inflation can be especially hard to shoulder for poor households because they spend a bigger chunk of their budgets on necessities like food, housing and gas.
Can inflation affect the stock market? Rapid inflation typically spells trouble for stocks. Financial assets in general have historically fared badly during inflation booms, while tangible assets like houses have held their value better.
“This is not to absolve bank management — it’s just to make clear that this wasn’t the finest hour for many players,” Mr. Dimon wrote. “All of these colliding factors became critically important when the marketplace, rating agencies and depositors focused on them.”
Banking regulators faced skeptical questioning from lawmakers at congressional hearings last week, prodded on why they had not done more to stop Silicon Valley Bank from imploding.
President Biden has called for increased scrutiny of banks with $100 billion to $250 billion in assets, like Silicon Valley Bank. The Federal Reserve is conducting an investigation into how it failed to stop vulnerabilities at the bank, which could result in tighter regulation and supervision.
Mr. Dimon, who has long taken issue with some of the complexities of financial regulations imposed after the 2008 financial crisis, cautioned against “knee-jerk, whack-a-mole or politically motivated” rule-making in response to the current tumult.
Mr. Dimon said that it “should not always be about more or less regulation” but rather the right mix of rules, which should also take into account factors such as customer concentration, uninsured deposits and limitations to accounting practices that have come to light after the recent bank collapses.
Understand Inflation and How It Affects You
Turning to the broader economy, Mr. Dimon said that “jitters” would “clearly cause some tightening of financial conditions as banks and other lenders become more conservative.” Although stricter lending practices may have the same dampening effect on the economy as higher interest rates, for now the economy is in “pretty good” shape, Mr. Dimon said.
“Even if we go into a recession, consumers would enter it in far better shape than during the great financial crisis,” Mr. Dimon wrote.
The chief of the nation’s largest bank also rejected the notion that the travails of smaller lenders has been good for JPMorgan. “While it is true that this bank crisis ‘benefited’ larger banks due to the inflow of deposits they received from smaller institutions, the notion that this meltdown was good for them in any way is absurd,” he said.
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